Observations Concerning
the Increase of Mankind,
Peopling of Countries, etc.
Benjamin Franklin
[1751]
1. Tables of the Proportion of Marriages to Births, of Deaths to
Births, of Marriages to the Numbers of Inhabitants, etc. form'd on
Observations made upon the Bills of Mortality, Christnings, etc. of
populous Cities, will not suit Countries; nor will Tables form'd on
Observations made on full settled old Countries, as Europe, suit new
Countries, as America.
2. For People increase in Proportion to the Number of Marriages, and
that is greater in Proportion to the Ease and Convenience of
supporting a Family. When Families can be easily supported, more
Persons marry, and earlier in Life. 3. In Cities, where all Trades,
Occupations and Offices are many delay marrying, till they can see how
to bear the Charges of a Family; which Charges are greater in Cities,
as Luxury Is more common: many five single during Life, and continue
Servants to Families, Journeymen to Trades, hence Cities do not by
natural Generation supply themselves with Inhabitants; the Deaths are
more than the Births.
3. In Cities, where all Trades, Occupations and Offices are many,
delaying marrying, till they can see how to bear the Charges of a
Family; which Charges are greater in Cities, all Luxury Is more
common: many five single during Life, and continue Servants to
Families, Journeymen to Trades, hence Cities do not by natural
Generation supply themselves with Inhabitants; the Deaths are more
than the Births.
4. In Countries full settled, the Case must be nearly the same; all
Lands being occupied and improved to the Heighth; those who cannot get
Land, must Labour for others that have it; when Labourers are plenty,
their Wages Will be low; by low Wages a Family is supported with
Difficulty; this Difficulty deters many from Marriage, who therefore
long continue Servants and single. - Only as the Cities take Supplies
of People from the Country, and thereby make a little more Room in the
Country; Marriage is a little more incourag'd there, and the Births
exceed the Deaths.
5. Europe is generally full settled with Husbandmen, Manufacturers,
etc. and therefore cannot now much increase in People: America is
cheifly occupied by Indians, who subsist mostly by Hunting. But as the
Hunter, of all Men, requires the greatest Quantity of Land from whence
to draw his Subsistence, (the Husbandman subsisting on much less, the
Gardner on still less, and the Manufacturer requiring least of all),
The Europeans found America as fully settled as it well could be by
Hunters; yet these having large Tracks, were easily prevail'd on to
part with Portions of Territory to the new Comers, who did not much
interfere with the Natives in Hunting, and furnish'd them with many
Things they wanted.
6. Land being thus plenty in America, and so cheap as that a
labouring Man, that understands Husbandry, can in a short Time save
Money enough to purchase a Piece of new Land sufficient for a
Plantation, whereon he may subsist a Family; such are not afraid to
marry; for if they even look far enough forward to consider how their
Children when grown up are to be provided for, they see that more Land
is to be had at Rates equally easy, all Circumstances considered.
7. Hence Marriages in America are more general, and more generally
early, than in Europe. And if it is reckoned there, that there is but
one Marriage per Annum among 100 Persons, perhaps we may here reckon
two; and if in Europe they have but 4 Births to a Marriage (many of
their Marriages being late) we may here reckon 8, of which if one half
grow up, and our Marriages are made, reckoning one with another 20
Years of Age, our People must at least be doubled every 20 Years.
8. But notwithstanding this Increase, so vast is the Territory of
North-America, that it will require many Ages to settle fully; and
till it is fully settled, Labour will never be cheap here, where no
Man continues long a Labourer for others, but gets a Plantation of his
own, no Man continues long a Journeyman to a Trade, but goes among
those new Settlers, and sets up for himself, etc. Hence Labour is no
cheaper now, in Pennsylvania, than it was 30 Years ago, tho' so many
Thousand labouring People have been imported.
9. The Danger therefore of these Colonies interfering with their
Mother Country in Trades that depend on Labour, Manufactures, etc. is
too remote to require the Attention of Great-Britain.
10. But in Proportion to the Increase of the Colonies, a vast Demand
is growing for British Manufactures, a glorious Market wholly in the
Power of Britain, in which Foreigners cannot interfere, which will
increase in a short Time even beyond her Power of supplying, tho' her
whole Trade should be to her Colonies: Therefore Britain should not
too much restrain Manufactures in her Colonies. A wise and good Mother
will not do it. To distress, is to weaken, and weakening the Children,
weakens the whole Family.
11. Besides if the Manufactures of Britain (by Reason of the American
Demands) should rise too high in Price, Foreigners who can sell
cheaper will drive her Merchants out of Foreign Markets; Foreign
Manufactures will thereby be encouraged and increased, and
consequently foreign Nations, perhaps her Rivals in Power, grow more
populous and more powerful; while her own Colonies, kept too low, are
unable to assist her, or add to her Strength.
12. 'Tis an ill-grounded Opinion that by the Labour of Slaves,
America may possibly vie in Cheapness of Manufactures with Britain.
The Labour of Slaves can never be so cheap here as the Labour of
working Men is in Britain. Any one may compute it. Interest of Money
is in the Colonies from 6 'to 10 per Cent. Slaves one with another
cost 30 £. Sterling per Head. Reckon then the Interest of the
first Purchase of a Slave, the Insurance or Risque on his Life, his
Cloathing and Diet, Expences in his Sickness and Loss of Time, Loss by
his Neglect of Business (Neglect is natural to the Man who is not to
be benefited by his own Care or Diligence), Expence of a Driver to
keep him at Work, and his Pilfering from Time to Time, almost every
Slave being by Nature a Thief, and compare the whole Amount with the
Wages of a Manufacturer of Iron or Wool in England, you will see that
Labour is much cheaper there than it ever can be by Negroes here. Why
then will Americans purchase Slaves? Because Slaves may be kept as
long as a Man pleases, or has Occasion for their Labour; while hired
Men are continually leaving their Master (often in the midst of his
Business,) and setting up for themselves. §. 8.
13. As the Increase of People depends on the Encourage. ment of
Marriages, the following Things must diminish a Nation, viz. 1. The
being conquered; for the Conquerors xill engross as many Offices, and
exact as much Tribute or Profit on the Labour of the conquered, as
will maintain them in their new Establishment, and this diminishing
the Subsistence of the Natives discourages their Marriages, & so
gradually diminishes them, while the Foreigners increase. 2. Loss of
Territory. Thus the Britons being driven into Wales, and crowded
together in a barren Country insufficient to support such great
Numbers, diminished 'till the People bore a Proportion to the Produce,
while the Saxons increas'd on their abandoned Lands; 'till the Island
became full of English. And were the English now driven into Wales by
some foreign Nation, there would in a few Years be no more Englishmen
in Britain, than there are now People in WaIes. 3. Loss of Trade.
Manufactures exported, draw Subsistence from Foreign Countries for
Numbers; who are thereby enabled to marry and raise Families. If the
Nation be deprived of any Branch of Trade, and no new Employment is
found for the People occupy'd in that Branch, it will also be soon
deprived of so many People. 4. Loss of Food. Suppose a Nation has a
Fishery, Which not only employs great Numbers, but makes the Food and
Subsistence of the People cheaper: If another Nation becomes Master of
the Seas, and prevents the Fishery, the People will diminish in
Proportion as the Loss of Employ, and Dearness of Provision, makes it
more difficult to subsist a Family. 5. Bad Government and insecure
Property. People not only leave such a Country, and settling Abroad
incorporate with other Nations, lose their native Language, and become
Foreigners; but the Industry of those that remain being discourag'd,
the Quantity of Subsistence in the Country is lessen'd, and the
Support of a Family becomes more difficult. So heavy Taxes tend to
diminish a People. 6. The Introduction Of Slaves. The Negroes brought
into the English Sugar Islands, have greatly diminish'd the Whites
there; the Poor are by this Means depriv'd of Employment, while a few
Families acquire vast Estates; which they spend on Foreign Luxuries,
and educating their Children in the Habit of those Luxuries; tile same
Income is needed for the Support of one that might have maintain'd
100. The Whites who have Slaves, not labouring, are enfeebled, and
therefore not so generally prolific; the Slaves being work'd too hard,
and ill fed, their Constitutions are broken, and the Deaths among them
are more than the Births; so that a continual Supply is needed from
Africa. The Northern Colonies having few Slaves increase in Whites.
Slaves also pejorate the Families that use them; the white Children
become proud, disgusted with Labour, and being educated in Idleness,
are rendered unfit to get a Living by Industry.
14. Hence the Prince that acquires new Territory, if he finds it
vacant, or removes the Natives to give his own People Room; the
Legislator that makes effectual Laws for promoting of Trade,
increasing Employment, improving Land by more or better Tillage;
providing more Food by Fisheries; securing Property, etc. and the Man
that invents new Trades, Arts or Manufactures, or new Improvements in
Husbandry, may be properly called Fathers of their Nation, as they are
the Cause of the Generation of Multitudes, by the Encouragement they
afford to Marriage.
15. As to Privileges granted to the married, (such as the Jus
trium Liberorum among the Romans), they hasten the filling of a
Country that has been thinned by War or Pestilence, or that has
otherwise vacant Territory; but cannot increase a People beyond the
Means provided for their Subsistence.
16. Foreign Luxuries & needless Manufactures imported and used in
a Nation, do, by the same Reasoning, increase the People of the Nation
that furnishes them, and diminish the People of the Nation that uses
them. Laws therefore that prevent such Importations, and on the
contrary promote the Exportation of Manufactures to be consumed in
Foreign Countries, may be called (with Respect to the People that make
them) generative Laws, as by increasing Subsistence they encourage
Marriage. Such Laws likewise strengthen a Country, doubly, by
increasing its own People and diminishing its Neighbours.
17. Some European Nations prudently refuse to consume the
Manufactures of East-India: They should likewise forbid them to their
Colonies; for the Gain to the Merchant, is not to be compar'd with the
Loss by this Means of People to the Nation.
18. Home Luxury in the Great, increases the Nation's Manufacturers
employ'd by it, who are many, and only tends to diminish the Families
that indulge in it, who are few. The greater the common fashionable
Expence of any Rank of People, the more cautious they are of Marriage.
Therefore Luxury should never be suffer'd to become common.
19. The great Increase of Offspring in particular Families, is not
always owing to greater Fecundity of Nature, but sometimes to Examples
of Industry in the Heads, and industrious Education; by which the
Children are enabled to provide better for themselves, and their
marrying early, is encouraged from the Prospect of good Subsistence.
20. If there be a Sect therefore, in our Nation, that regard
Frugality and Industry as religious Duties, and educate their Children
therein, more than others commonly do; such Sect must consequently
increase more by natural Generation., than any other Sect in
Britain.--
21. The Importation of Foreigners into a Country that has as many
Inhabitants as the present Employments and Provisions for Subsistence
will bear; will be in the End no Increase of People; unless the New
Comers have more Industry mid Frugality than the Natives, and then
they will provide more Subsistence, and increase in the Country; but
they will gradually eat the Natives out.-Nor is it necessary to bring
it, Foreigners to fill up any occasional Vacancy in a Country; for
such Vacancy (if the Laws are good, § 14, 16) will soon be filled
by natural Generation. Who can now find the Vacancy made in Sweden,
France or other Warlike Nations, by the plague of Heroism 40 Years
ago; in France, by the Expulsion of the Protestants; in England, by
the Settlement of her Colonies; or in Guinea, by 100 Years Exportation
of Slaves, that has blacken'd half America? -- The thinness of
Inhabitants in Spain, is owing to National Pride and Idleness, and
other Causes, rather than to the Expulsion of the Moors, or to the
making of new Settlements.
22. There is in short, no Bound to the prolific Nature of Plants or
Animals, but what is made by their crowding and interfering with each
others Means of Subsistence. Was the Face of the Earth vacant of other
Plants, it might be gradually sowed and overspread with one Kind only;
as, for Instance, with Fennel; and were it empty of other Inhabitants,
it might in a few Ages be replenish'd from one Nation only; as, for
Instance, with Englishmen. Thus there are suppos'd to be now upwards
of One Million English Souls in North-America, (tho' 'tis thought
scarce 80,000 have been brought over Sea) and yet perhaps there is not
one the fewer in Britain, but rather many more, on Account of the
Employment the Colonies afford to Manufacturers at Home. This Million
doubling, suppose but once in 25 Years, will in another Century be
more than the People of England, and the greatest Number of Englishmen
will be on this Side the Water. What an Accession of Power to the
British Empire by Sea as well as Land! What Increase of Trade and
Navigation! What Numbers of Ships and Seamen! We have been here but
little more than 100 Years, and yet the Force of our Privateers in the
late War, United, was greater, both in Men and Guns, than that of the
whole British Navy in Queen Elizabeth's Time. - How important an
Affair then to Britain, is the present Treaty for settling the Bounds
between her Colonies and the French, and how careful should she be to
secure Room enough, since on the Room depends so much the Increase of
her People?
23. In fine, A Nation well regulated is like a Polypus; take away a
Limb, its Place is soon supply'd; cut it in two, and each deficient
Part shall speedily grow out of the Part remaining. Thus if you have
Room and Subsistence enough, as you may by dividing, make ten Polypes
out of one, you may of one make ten Nations, equally populous and
powerful; rather, increase a Nation ten fold in Numbers and Strength.
And since Detachments of English from Britain sent to America, will
have their Places at Home so soon supply'd and increase so largely
here; why should the Palatine Boors be suffered to swarm into our
Settlements, and by herding together establish their Language and
Manners to the Exclusion f ours? Why should Pennsylvania, founded by
the English, become a Colony of Aliens, who will shortly be so
numerous as to Germanize us instead of our Anglifying them, and will
never adopt our Language or Customs, any more than they can acquire
our Complexion.
24. Which leads me to add one Remark: That the Number of purely white
People in the World is proportionably very small. All Africa is black
or tawny. Asia chiefly tawny. America (exclusive of the new Comers)
wholly so. And in Europe, the Spaniards, Italians, French, Russians
and Swedes, are generally of what we call a swarthy Complexion; as are
the Germans also, the Saxons only excepted, who with the English, make
the principal Body of White People on the Face of the Earth. I could
wish their Numbers were increased. And while we are, as I may call it,
Scouring our Planet, by clearing America of Woods, and so making this
Side of our Globe reflect a brighter Light to the Eyes of Inhabitants
in Mars or Venus, why should we in the Sight of Superior Beings,
darken its People? why increase the Sons of Africa, by Planting them
in America, where we have so fair an Opportunity, by excluding all
Blacks and Tawneys, of increasing the lovely White and Red? But
perhaps I am partial to the Compexion of my Country, for such Kind of
Partiality is natural to Mankind.
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